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IONQ Inc

Recommendation: Buy

Entry Date Symbol Recommendation Entry Price (USD) Target 1 (USD) Target 2 (USD) Holding Duration Position Status Return(%)*
18 Feb, 26 IONQ Buy USD 33.18 USD 35.0 USD 37.0 8 days Closed 17.84%

*Return(%) represent the percentage change between the entry price and exit price of the recommendation.

Fundamentals

  • Previous Close 54.69
  • Market Cap2741.00M
  • Volume20362592
  • P/E Ratio-
  • Dividend Yield-%
  • EBITDA-119.60600M
  • Revenue TTM19.74M
  • Revenue Per Share TTM0.10
  • Gross Profit TTM 1.10M
  • Diluted EPS TTM-0.67

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Company Overview

IonQ, Inc. engages in the development of general-purpose quantum computing systems in the United States. It sells access to quantum computers of various qubit capacities. The company makes access to its quantum computers through cloud platforms, such as Amazon Web Services (AWS) Amazon Braket, Microsoft's Azure Quantum, and Google's Cloud Marketplace, as well as through its cloud service. The company also provides consulting services related to co-developing algorithms on quantum computing systems; and contracts associated with the design, development, and construction of specialized quantum computing systems. IonQ, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in College Park, Maryland.

Key Positives

Strong Revenue Momentum and Expanding Commercial Adoption: IonQ reported robust top-line expansion, with Q3 FY25 revenue increasing to USD 39.9 million from USD 12.4 million in Q3 FY24

 

Improved Geographic Revenue Mix: The company made notable strides in broadening its international footprint, with approximately 30% of Q3 FY25 revenue generated from international markets, compared with a largely U.S.-focused revenue base in Q3 FY24, highlighting progress in global market penetration

Key Negatives

Rising Operating Cost Structure: Company’s expense base expanded significantly, with Q3 FY25 GAAP operating expenses reaching USD 208.7 million, materially above the prior-year level, reflecting heightened investment intensity and cost pressures

Ongoing EBITDA Losses Despite Revenue Growth: IonQ continued to operate at a loss, reporting an adjusted EBITDA loss of USD 48.9 million in Q3 FY25, underscoring the gap between revenue scale and profitability

Key Investment Risks

IonQ’s core investment risk stems from its continued dependence on significant capital investment to scale and commercialize quantum technologies, while its path to profitability remains closely tied to the speed of enterprise adoption and the company’s ability to effectively execute its ambitious technological development roadmap

Recommendation Summary

Technical Summary

Entry Price Support* Target 1** Target 2**
33.18 29.5 35.0 37.0

Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt

*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.

**Target prices may vary by ±0.5% depending on market volatility.

Key Reasons for Buy

Robust Revenue Growth and Commercial Acceleration: IonQ reported a marked surge in top-line performance in Q3 FY25, with revenue reaching USD 39.9 million, compared to USD 12.4 million in Q3 FY24, representing a 222% year-over-year increase. The quarter delivered the company’s largest revenue outperformance to date, significantly surpassing internal expectations and highlighting accelerating commercial traction for its quantum computing and platform-centric offerings.

Strategic Shift Toward an Integrated Quantum Ecosystem: During the quarter, IonQ further advanced its transformation from a standalone quantum hardware developer into a fully integrated quantum platform provider, encompassing computing, networking, sensing, and cybersecurity capabilities. Supported by strategic acquisitions such as Oxford Ionics and Vector Atomic, the company has expanded its total addressable market and positioned itself to secure comprehensive, multi-solution contracts. Management indicated an active pipeline exceeding USD 1 billion built around this broader platform strategy.

Technological Advancements Reinforcing Competitive Positioning: From a technical standpoint, IonQ achieved record-setting milestones, including 99.99% two-qubit gate fidelity and an Algorithmic Qubit (AQ) score of 64. These achievements significantly enhance computational performance relative to competing systems and strengthen the company’s pathway toward delivering scalable, fault-tolerant quantum solutions with real-world commercial applicability.

Broader International Presence and Customer Diversification: IonQ demonstrated increased geographic diversification in Q3 FY25, with approximately 70% of revenue generated from the United States and 30% from international markets. This marks a notable expansion beyond its historically U.S.-centric revenue base, reflecting growing demand across Europe, Asia, and allied government markets for quantum-enabled computing, security, and sensing technologies.

Elevated Investment in Research and Operational Scaling: To maintain its innovation leadership, the company materially expanded operating expenditures. GAAP operating expenses totaled USD 208.7 million in Q3 FY25, including R&D investments of USD 66.3 million, nearly double the prior year. IonQ continues to prioritize engineering development, semiconductor-scale production capabilities, and application-layer innovation to strengthen its competitive positioning and accelerate commercialization.

Enhanced Liquidity and Financial Strength: IonQ ended the quarter with USD 1.5 billion in cash and investments, which increased to approximately USD 3.5 billion on a pro forma basis following two equity financings completed in the latter half of 2025. With no outstanding debt, the company now commands one of the strongest balance sheets among publicly listed quantum computing firms, ensuring ample capital to support R&D expansion, strategic acquisitions, and infrastructure growth.

Raised Revenue Outlook and Strengthening Visibility: Reflecting the strong third-quarter performance, management increased full-year FY25 revenue guidance to a range of USD 106–USD 110 million, implying annual growth of roughly 150%. This outlook positions IonQ as the first publicly traded quantum computing company to forecast triple-digit revenue, supported by growing recurring revenue streams and deeper customer integration through its platform-based model.

Considering recent key business, financial updates, current trading levels, and key business risks, a ‘Buy’ recommendation has been given on IonQ, Inc. (NYSE: IONQ) at the closing market price of USD 33.18, as on Feb 17, 2026.

Key Financials in Pictures

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Change in Cash

Total Operating Cash

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Peer Comparison

Sector: Technology Industry: Computer Hardware

Company Change (USD) Price (USD) Trailing PE (x) Forward PE (x) Price Sales TTM (x) Price to Book Value (x) Enterprise Value to Revenue (x) Enterprise Value to EBITDA (x)
IONQ
IONQ Inc
1.86 3.40% 56.55 - - 138.83 5.50 126.74 -21.0799
DELL
Dell Technologies Inc
-9.82 2.34% 409.50 24.44 15.65 1.22 4.39 1.34 12.81
ANET
Arista Networks
4.74 2.87% 169.67 39.49 31.45 13.08 11.15 12.18 31.54
SMCI
Super Micro Computer Inc
2.88 10.37% 30.66 49.25 28.90 5.69 17.11 5.65 57.68
HPQ
HP Inc
0.32 1.38% 23.50 9.33 8.67 0.56 - 0.70 7.42

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Disclosures:

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Related Risks: This report may be looked at from high-risk perspective and recommendations are provided are for a short duration. Recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels as on February 18, 2026. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.

Note 4: StockNextt reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from REFINITIV or Trading View. Typically, REFINITIV or Trading View may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

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