Cipher Mining Inc

Recommendation: Speculative Buy

Entry Date Symbol Recommendation Entry Price (USD) Target 1 (USD) Target 2 (USD) Holding Duration Potential Upside
7 Jun, 24 CIFR Speculative Buy USD 4.26 USD 4.9 USD 5.6 13 days 31.5%

Fundamentals

  • Previous Close 3.96
  • Market Cap1240.12M
  • Volume4505592
  • P/E Ratio80.00
  • Dividend Yield-%
  • EBITDA56.45M
  • Revenue TTM153.08M
  • Revenue Per Share TTM0.58
  • Gross Profit TTM 2.29M
  • Diluted EPS TTM0.05

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Company Overview

Cipher Mining Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and operation of industrial scale bitcoin mining data centers in the United States. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in New York, New York. Cipher Mining Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Bitfury Holding B.V.

Key Positives

Increased Revenues: Post halving, the revenues increased to USD 48.14 mn in Q1FY24 from USD 21.90 mn in Q1FY23. 

Higher Returns to Shareholders: ROE expanded to 7.3% in Q1FY24 vs Industry Median of 0.7%.

Key Negatives

Contraction in Margins: Gross margins at 69.2% in Q1FY24 vs. the Industry Median of 78.8% 

Operating Inefficiency: Asset Turnover at 0.08x in Q1FY24 vs. Industry Median of 0.13x.   

Key Investment Risks

Government Regulations, Change in Consumer Interest, Fluctuations in Transaction Costs, Taxation, etc. 

Recommendation Summary

Technical Summary

Entry Price Support* Target 1 Target 2
4.26 3.9 4.9 5.6

Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt

*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.

Key Reasons for Speculative Buy

Technical Observation (on the daily chart):

CIFR's stock price has been consolidating within a narrow range, displaying resilience at its rising trendline and gradually drifting upward. This developing trend suggests a potential opportunity for an upward movement in the near term. The stock is also maintaining its position above its 21-day and 50-day simple moving averages (SMAs), which serves as a strong support level and could provide a floor for the price. Additionally, the 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently above its midpoint, further reinforcing the positive bias.

As per the above-mentioned price action, recent key business and financial updates, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicators analysis, a 'Speculative Buy' rating has been given to Cipher Mining Inc. (NASDAQ: CIFR) at its current market price of USD 4.26 as of Jun 7, 2024 (7:23 am PDT).

Key Financials in Pictures

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Change in Cash

Total Operating Cash

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Peer Comparison

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Capital Markets

Company Change (USD) Price (USD) Trailing PE (x) Forward PE (x) Price Sales TTM (x) Price to Book Value (x) Enterprise Value to Revenue (x) Enterprise Value to EBITDA (x)
CIFR
Cipher Mining Inc
-0.18 4.55% 3.78 80.00 21.23 8.94 2.31 8.44 26.95
MS
Morgan Stanley
1.45 1.34% 108.94 16.50 13.76 2.80 1.65
SCHW
Charles Schwab Corp
1.41 2.17% 66.31 22.86 17.39 6.14 4.28
GS
Goldman Sachs Group Inc
7.52 1.51% 504.09 18.44 10.60 2.83 1.16
IBKR
Interactive Brokers Group Inc
1.12 0.76% 148.71 21.95 17.48 10.41 3.30 1.04 1.22

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Disclosures:

**For simplicity purpose, certain recommendations are indicated as Buy in the overview table of the report, and depending on the risk factors may be categorised as Speculative Buy in particular.

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing. Related Risk: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective and a recommendation is provided for a short duration. This report is solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.

Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is of Jun 7, 2024 (7:23 am PDT). The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Abbreviations

CMP: Current Market Price

SMA: Simple Moving Average

RSI: Relative Strength Index

USD: United States dollar

Note: Trading decisions require a thorough analysis by individual. Technical reports in general chart out metrics that may be assessed by individuals before any stock evaluation. The above are illustrative analytical factors used for evaluating stocks; other parameters can be looked at along with additional risks per se. Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.

Disclaimer:

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Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

Disclaimer :
This report has been issued by StockNextt which has an Ontario Business Identification Number 1000958347 and British Columbia registration Number FM1051529 is a trade name under Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. having Business Number 761925130BC0001. Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. and StockNextt are collectively referred to as “StockNextt”, “we”, “us”, and “our”. The website https://stocknextt.com and associated pages are published by StockNextt. The information in this report and on the StockNextt website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which StockNextt, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. StcokNextt has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its reports, newsletters, and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice. The information in this report does not constitute an offer to sell securities or other financial products or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities or other financial products. Our reports contain general recommendations for investing in securities and other financial products. StockNextt does not offer financial advice based upon your personal financial situation or goals, and we shall not be held liable for any investment or trading losses you may incur by using the opinions expressed in our reports, publications, market updates, news alerts and corporate profiles. StockNextt does not intend to exclude any liability which it is not permitted to exclude under applicable law or regulation. StockNextt’s general advice does not in any way endorse or recommend individuals, investment products or services for your personal financial situation. You should discuss your portfolios and the risk tolerance level appropriate for your personal financial situation, with a professional authorised financial planner and adviser. You should be aware that the value of any investment and the income from it can go down as well as up and you may not get back the amount invested. Please also read our Terms and conditions for further information. Employees and/or associates of StockNextt and its related entities may hold an interest in the securities or other financial products covered in this report or on the StockNextt website. Any such employees and associates are required to comply with certain safeguards, procedures and disclosures as required by law.

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