Recommendation: Buy
| Entry Date | Symbol | Recommendation | Entry Price (USD) | Target 1 (USD) | Target 2 (USD) | Holding Duration | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun, 24 | SIGA | Buy | USD 7.37 | USD 8.0 | USD 8.76 | 16 days | 18.9% |
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
SIGA Technologies, Inc., a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, focuses on the health security related markets in the United States. Its lead product is TPOXX, an oral formulation antiviral drug for the treatment of human smallpox disease caused by variola virus. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Debt-Free Balance Sheet
Higher Shareholders return: ROE of 5.7% in Q1FY24 vs. industry median of negative 0.1%
Decreased short-term Liquidity: Current ratio of 3.05x in Q1FY24 vs. 9.34x in Q1FY23.
Decreased Free cash flow generation: FCF of negative USD 6.12mn in Q1FY24 vs. USD 24.45mn in Q1FY23.
Clinical Development Risks, Dependency on Government Contracts & Regulatory Challenges
| Entry Price | Support* | Target 1 | Target 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.37 | 6.5 | 8.0 | 8.76 |
Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt
*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.
Technical Summary
Price Performance:
Considering the decent fundamentals, higher shareholders return, associated risks, higher topline financials and profitability metrics, and current valuation, a "Buy" recommendation is given on the stock at the closing market price of USD 7.37, as of June 25, 2024.
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Sector: Healthcare Industry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic
| Company | Change (USD) | Price (USD) | Trailing PE (x) | Forward PE (x) | Price Sales TTM (x) | Price to Book Value (x) | Enterprise Value to Revenue (x) | Enterprise Value to EBITDA (x) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIGA SIGA Technologies Inc |
-0.1 1.50% | 6.57 | 6.88 | 7.47 | 4.48 | 3.18 | 3.41 | 5.66 |
| ZTS Zoetis Inc |
2.54 1.35% | 189.91 | 40.18 | 30.96 | 10.67 | 17.60 | 11.27 | 26.18 |
| MKKGY Merck KGaA ADR |
0.08 0.24% | 33.96 | 21.25 | 14.93 | 3.10 | 2.14 | 3.60 | 12.98 |
| MKGAF MERCK Kommanditgesellschaft auf Aktien |
-2.57 1.53% | 165.13 | 21.73 | 14.95 | 3.16 | 2.15 | 3.56 | 12.82 |
| TAK Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR |
-0.04 0.28% | 14.26 | 32.67 | 11.53 | 0.01 | 0.87 | 0.02 | 0.07 |
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macroeconomic issues and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.
Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is June 25, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.
Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.
Note 4: The report publishing date is as per the Pacific Time Zone.
Technical Indicators Defined: -
Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect against further losses in case of unfavorable movement in the stock prices.
Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.
Disclaimer :
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