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Sirius XM Holding Inc

Recommendation: Buy

Entry Date Symbol Recommendation Entry Price (USD) Target 1 (USD) Target 2 (USD) Holding Duration Potential Upside
20 Aug, 24 SIRI Buy USD 3.18 USD 3.4 USD 3.75 1 day 17.9%

Fundamentals

  • Previous Close 21.51
  • Market Cap10616.70M
  • Volume6212462
  • P/E Ratio8.36
  • Dividend Yield3.87%
  • EBITDA2607.00M
  • Revenue TTM8971.00M
  • Revenue Per Share TTM2.33
  • Gross Profit TTM 4521.00M
  • Diluted EPS TTM0.33

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Company Overview

Sirius XM Holdings Inc. operates as an audio entertainment company in North America. It operates in two segments, Sirius XM, and Pandora and Off-platform. The company's Sirius XM segment provides music, sports, entertainment, comedy, talk, news, traffic and weather channels, and other content, as well as podcast and infotainment services on subscription fee basis; and live, curated, and exclusive and on demand programming services through satellite radio systems and streamed through applications for mobile and home devices, and other consumer electronic equipment. This segment also distributes satellite radios through automakers and retailers, as well as its website; podcasts, including true crime, news, politics, music, comedy, sports, and entertainment; and offers location-based services through two-way wireless connectivity, including safety, security, convenience, maintenance and data, remote vehicles diagnostic, and stolen or parked vehicle locator services. In addition, this segment provides music channels on the DISH Network satellite television service as a programming package; Travel Link, a suite of data services that include graphical weather, fuel prices, sports schedule and scores, and movie listings; graphic information related to road closings, traffic flow, and incident data for consumers with in-vehicle navigation systems; real-time weather services in vehicles, boats, and planes; and music programming and commercial-free music services for office, restaurants, and other business. Its Pandora and Off-platform segment operates music, comedy, and podcast streaming platform, which offers personalized experience for listener through computers, tablets, mobile devices, vehicle speakers, and connected devices; and provides advertising services. The company was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in New York. Sirius XM Holdings Inc. operates as a subsidiary of The Liberty SiriusXM Group.

Key Positives

Comparatively Lower Balance Sheet Risk: Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21x in Q2FY22 vs industry median of 0.41x
Generating wealth on shareholder's money: ROE of 22.6% in Q2FY22 vs industry median of 2.6%

Key Negatives

Relatively Lower Liquidity Profile: Current ratio of 1.29x in Q2FY22 vs industry median of 2.39x

Declining Gross Margins: Gross margin of 71.0% in Q2FY22 vs 74.5% in Q2FY21

Key Investment Risks

Competition risk, Third party supplier risk, Labour disruptions and Macro uncertainties

Recommendation Summary

Technical Summary

Entry Price Support* Target 1 Target 2
3.18 2.6 3.4 3.75

Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt

*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.

       The stock has given a return of 13.04% in the last three months while correcting by 32.98% in past nine months.

       The stock is leaning towards the lower band of its 52-week range of USD 5.78 and 52-week low price of USD 2.45, with the current price near an important support zone of USD 2.50-USD 3.00, with expectations of support if these levels sustains.

       The price is currently below both its short-term (50-day) SMA and long-term (200-day) SMA, with the current RSI of 49.29.

Considering the decent fundamentals, associated risks, recent business and financial highlights, debt-free balance sheet, and current valuation, a "Buy" recommendation is given on the stock at the current price of USD 3.18, as of August 20, 2024, at 07:45 am PDT.

Key Reasons for Buy

Key Financials in Pictures

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Change in Cash

Total Operating Cash

Dividends Paid

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Peer Comparison

Sector: Communication Services Industry: Entertainment

Company Change (USD) Price (USD) Trailing PE (x) Forward PE (x) Price Sales TTM (x) Price to Book Value (x) Enterprise Value to Revenue (x) Enterprise Value to EBITDA (x)
SIRI
Sirius XM Holding Inc
-0.685 3.18% 20.82 8.36 10.53 1.38 - 2.42 8.53
NFLX
Netflix Inc
18.39 2.07% 907.94 44.85 36.10 7.99 13.09 8.21 12.88
DIS
Walt Disney Company
0.92 0.83% 112.27 70.56 19.42 1.88 1.68 2.24 16.46
UNVGY
Universal Music Group N.V
0.12 0.96% 12.63 40.46 27.47 4.82 18.29 5.11 28.19
UMGNF
Universal Music Group N.V.
0.04 0.15% 25.89 40.11 27.55 4.82 18.30 5.11 28.19

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Disclosures:

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macroeconomic issues and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

Disclaimer :
This report has been issued by StockNextt which has an Ontario Business Identification Number 1000958347 and British Columbia registration Number FM1051529 is a trade name under Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. having Business Number 761925130BC0001. Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. and StockNextt are collectively referred to as “StockNextt”, “we”, “us”, and “our”. The website https://stocknextt.com and associated pages are published by StockNextt. The information in this report and on the StockNextt website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which StockNextt, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. StcokNextt has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its reports, newsletters, and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice. The information in this report does not constitute an offer to sell securities or other financial products or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities or other financial products. Our reports contain general recommendations for investing in securities and other financial products. StockNextt does not offer financial advice based upon your personal financial situation or goals, and we shall not be held liable for any investment or trading losses you may incur by using the opinions expressed in our reports, publications, market updates, news alerts and corporate profiles. StockNextt does not intend to exclude any liability which it is not permitted to exclude under applicable law or regulation. StockNextt’s general advice does not in any way endorse or recommend individuals, investment products or services for your personal financial situation. You should discuss your portfolios and the risk tolerance level appropriate for your personal financial situation, with a professional authorised financial planner and adviser. You should be aware that the value of any investment and the income from it can go down as well as up and you may not get back the amount invested. Please also read our Terms and conditions for further information. Employees and/or associates of StockNextt and its related entities may hold an interest in the securities or other financial products covered in this report or on the StockNextt website. Any such employees and associates are required to comply with certain safeguards, procedures and disclosures as required by law.

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