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Standard Lithium Ltd

Recommendation: Speculative Buy

Entry Date Symbol Recommendation Entry Price (CAD) Target 1 (CAD) Target 2 (CAD) Holding Duration Potential Upside
26 Nov, 24 SLI Speculative Buy CAD 2.53 CAD 2.89 CAD 3.06 17 days 20.9%

Fundamentals

  • Previous Close 1.99
  • Market Cap548.21M
  • Volume201304
  • P/E Ratio3.62
  • Dividend Yield-%
  • EBITDA-44.75100M
  • Revenue TTM0.00000M
  • Revenue Per Share TTM-
  • Gross Profit TTM -16.03800M
  • Diluted EPS TTM0.82

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Company Overview

Standard Lithium Ltd. explores for, develops, and processes lithium brine properties in the United States. Its flagship project is the South West Arkansas Project and the Phase 1A Project located in southern Arkansas. The company was formerly known as Patriot Petroleum Corp. and changed its name to Standard Lithium Ltd. in December 2016. The company was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Key Positives

DOE Grant for SWA Project: Received a conditional $225 million grant from the U.S. Department of Energy, marking one of the largest grants awarded to a U.S. critical minerals project, to support the construction of a key processing facility.

Strategic Partnership with Equinor: Secured up to $160 million from Equinor ASA, which acquired a 45% stake in the SWA and East Texas projects, significantly strengthening the Company's financial position without diluting existing shareholders

Key Negatives

Limited Cash and Working Capital: Cash reserves of C$52.9 million and working capital of C$39.6 million as of June 30, 2024, could constrain the Company's ability to scale operations without additional financing.

Modest ATM Equity Program Proceeds: Generated only C$2.8 million and US$13.3 million through share issuances under the at-the-market equity program, which may limit access to further immediate capital.

Key Investment Risks

Key investment risks for the company include dependency on successful DOE grant negotiations and government support, the high capital intensity and scalability challenges of lithium projects, reliance on partnerships like Equinor for project advancement, and limited cash reserves which may necessitate further equity dilution or financing.

Recommendation Summary

Technical Summary

Entry Price Support* Target 1 Target 2
2.53 2.05 2.89 3.06

Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt

*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.

Key Reasons for Speculative Buy

Price Action Analysis (on the Daily Chart)

On the daily chart, SLI stock prices are trading above the downward sloping trendline support level and continuously taking support from the trendline. The recent upside movement in the stock is backed by increasing volumes, further supporting a positive bias. The next resistance level is placed around CAD 2.89, and the stock may test that level in the short term (2-4 weeks).

Technical Indicators Analysis (On the Daily Chart)

On the daily chart, the momentum oscillator RSI (14-Period) is showing a reading of ~47.17 levels, indicating positive momentum. Moreover, the weekly volumes also seem supportive of the upside movement. However, the stock is trading below the 21-period SMA, which may act as a resistance level.

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical analysis, Standard Lithium Ltd. looking technically well-placed on the chart, and a ‘Speculative Buy’ recommendation has been given on the stock. Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual’s appetite for upside potential, risks, and any previous holdings.

Key Financials in Pictures

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Change in Cash

Total Operating Cash

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Peer Comparison

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Other Industrial Metals & Mining

Company Change (CAD) Price (CAD) Trailing PE (x) Forward PE (x) Price Sales TTM (x) Price to Book Value (x) Enterprise Value to EBITDA (x)
SLI
Standard Lithium Ltd
0.03 1.51% 2.02 3.62 - - 1.61 2.70
SGML
Sigma Lithium Resources Corp
0.35 2.23% 16.04 117.60 12.59 6.64 11.00 7.33 37.02
AFM
Alphamin Res
- -% 1.09 15.50 9.43 3.68 3.24 2.67 5.64
ALDE
Aldebaran Resources Inc
0.37 21.14% 2.12 - - - 2.67 -16.8764
SFR
Sandfire Resources America Inc
- -% 0.30 - - - 56.34 -39.947

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Disclosures:

Related Risks: This report may be looked at from high-risk perspective and recommendations are provided are for a short duration. Recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is NOvember 25, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

Disclaimer :
This report has been issued by StockNextt which has an Ontario Business Identification Number 1000958347 and British Columbia registration Number FM1051529 is a trade name under Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. having Business Number 761925130BC0001. Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. and StockNextt are collectively referred to as “StockNextt”, “we”, “us”, and “our”. The website https://stocknextt.com and associated pages are published by StockNextt. The information in this report and on the StockNextt website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which StockNextt, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. StcokNextt has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its reports, newsletters, and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice. The information in this report does not constitute an offer to sell securities or other financial products or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities or other financial products. Our reports contain general recommendations for investing in securities and other financial products. StockNextt does not offer financial advice based upon your personal financial situation or goals, and we shall not be held liable for any investment or trading losses you may incur by using the opinions expressed in our reports, publications, market updates, news alerts and corporate profiles. StockNextt does not intend to exclude any liability which it is not permitted to exclude under applicable law or regulation. StockNextt’s general advice does not in any way endorse or recommend individuals, investment products or services for your personal financial situation. You should discuss your portfolios and the risk tolerance level appropriate for your personal financial situation, with a professional authorised financial planner and adviser. You should be aware that the value of any investment and the income from it can go down as well as up and you may not get back the amount invested. Please also read our Terms and conditions for further information. Employees and/or associates of StockNextt and its related entities may hold an interest in the securities or other financial products covered in this report or on the StockNextt website. Any such employees and associates are required to comply with certain safeguards, procedures and disclosures as required by law.

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