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Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure PLC

Recommendation: Buy

Entry Date Symbol Recommendation Entry Price (USD) Target 1 (USD) Target 2 (USD) Holding Duration Potential Upside
18 Apr, 24 AY Buy USD 18.44 USD 20.66 USD 21.76 6 days 18.0%

Fundamentals

  • Previous Close 21.99
  • Market Cap2554.58M
  • VolumeNone
  • P/E Ratio87.96
  • Dividend Yield8.05%
  • EBITDA682.70M
  • Revenue TTM1134.39M
  • Revenue Per Share TTM9.77
  • Gross Profit TTM 1102.03M
  • Diluted EPS TTM0.25

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Company Overview

Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure plc owns, manages, and invests in renewable energy, storage, natural gas and heat, electric transmission lines, and water assets in North America, South America, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company was formerly known as Atlantica Yield plc and changed its name to Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure plc in May 2020. Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure plc was incorporated in 2013 and is based in Brentford, the United Kingdom.

Key Positives

Improved Returns to Shareholders: ROE of 2.9% in FY23 vs. negative 0.3% in FY22

Higher Gross Profitability: Gross Margin of 22.3% in FY23 vs. Industry median of 20%

Key Negatives

Decreased Short-term Liquidity: Current ratio of 1.62x in FY23 vs. 1.99x in FY22

Leveraged Balance Sheet: Debt/Equity ratio of 3.80x in FY23 vs. Industry median of 2.46x

Key Investment Risks

Regulatory Risks, Market and Price Risks, Operational Risks, and macro uncertainties etc. 

Recommendation Summary

Technical Summary

Entry Price Support* Target 1 Target 2
18.44 16.96 20.66 21.76

Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt

*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.

Key Reasons for Buy

Financials: Adjusted EBITDA stood at USD 794.9 mn, up 1.7% during FY 2023. The company reported net profit of USD 43.4 mn in FY23 vs net loss of USD 5.4 mn in prior period. 

Technical: The stock has corrected by 10.71% in the past three months and has also corrected by around 21.40% in the past nine months. 

Outlook: AY expects adjusted EBITDA to range between USD 800 mn and USD 850 mn, with cash available for distribution to be between USD 220 mn and USD 270 mn in FY 2024.

Given the aforementioned factors, a "Buy" recommendations has been assigned on the stock at closing market price of USD 18.44, as on 10 April 2024.

Key Financials in Pictures

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Change in Cash

Total Operating Cash

Dividends Paid

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Peer Comparison

Sector: Utilities Industry: Utilities - Renewable

Company Change (USD) Price (USD) Trailing PE (x) Forward PE (x) Price Sales TTM (x) Price to Book Value (x) Enterprise Value to Revenue (x) Enterprise Value to EBITDA (x)
AY
Atlantica Sustainable Infrastructure PLC
- -% - 87.96 32.79 2.25 1.98 6.43 8.97
CEG
Constellation Energy Corp
-4.59 2.02% 222.43 26.42 27.55 3.13 6.31 3.58 13.47
OEZVF
VERBUND AG
- -% 76.20 10.61 13.37 2.57 3.03 2.51 6.50
OEZVY
Verbund AG ADR
- -% 13.83 10.72 13.53 2.57 3.06 2.51 6.50
DNNGY
Orsted A/S ADR
0.12 0.78% 15.60 - 25.91 0.23 2.02 0.31 -8.6553

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Disclosures:

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. 

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is April 10, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV. 

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above. 

Note 4: The report publishing date is as per the Pacific Time Zone.

 

 

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

Disclaimer :
This report has been issued by StockNextt which has an Ontario Business Identification Number 1000958347 and British Columbia registration Number FM1051529 is a trade name under Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. having Business Number 761925130BC0001. Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. and StockNextt are collectively referred to as “StockNextt”, “we”, “us”, and “our”. The website https://stocknextt.com and associated pages are published by StockNextt. The information in this report and on the StockNextt website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which StockNextt, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. StcokNextt has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its reports, newsletters, and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice. The information in this report does not constitute an offer to sell securities or other financial products or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities or other financial products. Our reports contain general recommendations for investing in securities and other financial products. StockNextt does not offer financial advice based upon your personal financial situation or goals, and we shall not be held liable for any investment or trading losses you may incur by using the opinions expressed in our reports, publications, market updates, news alerts and corporate profiles. StockNextt does not intend to exclude any liability which it is not permitted to exclude under applicable law or regulation. StockNextt’s general advice does not in any way endorse or recommend individuals, investment products or services for your personal financial situation. You should discuss your portfolios and the risk tolerance level appropriate for your personal financial situation, with a professional authorised financial planner and adviser. You should be aware that the value of any investment and the income from it can go down as well as up and you may not get back the amount invested. Please also read our Terms and conditions for further information. Employees and/or associates of StockNextt and its related entities may hold an interest in the securities or other financial products covered in this report or on the StockNextt website. Any such employees and associates are required to comply with certain safeguards, procedures and disclosures as required by law.

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