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360 Finance Inc

Recommendation: Buy

Entry Date Symbol Recommendation Entry Price (USD) Target 1 (USD) Target 2 (USD) Holding Duration Potential Upside*
17 Jan, 25 QFIN Buy USD 38.37 USD 41.9 USD 45.5 13 days 18.6%

*Potential Upside (%) indicates the expected percentage increase from the Entry Price to the Target 2 Price.

Fundamentals

  • Previous Close 43.48
  • Market Cap6051.80M
  • Volume2463782
  • P/E Ratio8.02
  • Dividend Yield3.65%
  • EBITDA7808.96M
  • Revenue TTM17089.77M
  • Revenue Per Share TTM109.13
  • Gross Profit TTM 10371.00M
  • Diluted EPS TTM4.86

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Company Overview

Qifu Technology, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates credit-tech platform under the 360 Jietiao brand in the People's Republic of China. The company provides credit-driven services that matches borrowers with financial institutions to conduct customer acquisition, initial and credit screening, advanced risk assessment, credit assessment, fund matching, and other post-facilitation services; and platform services, including loan facilitation and post-facilitation services to financial institution partners under intelligence credit engine, referral services, and risk management software-as-a-service. It offers e-commerce loans, enterprise loans, and invoice loans to SME owners. It serves financial institutions, consumers, and small- and micro-enterprises. The company was formerly known as 360 DigiTech, Inc. and changed its name to Qifu Technology, Inc. in March 2023. Qifu Technology, Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Key Positives

Increase in Operating Margin

(52.4% in Q3 FY24 vs 32.4% in Q3 FY23)

Increase in Net Margin

(41.2% in Q3 FY24 vs 26.6% in Q3 FY23)

Key Negatives

Higher Debt-Equity Ratio

(0.05x in Q3 FY24 vs 0.04x in Q3 FY23)

Decrease in Gross Margin

(83.8% in Q3 FY24 vs 85.1% in Q3 FY23)

Key Investment Risks

Data Breaches and Hacking, Technology Risks, Partnership and Vendor Risks, Regulatory Risks, etc. 

Recommendation Summary

Technical Summary

Entry Price Support* Target 1 Target 2
38.37 34.0 41.9 45.5

Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt

*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.

Key Reasons for Buy

Price Action Analysis (on the daily chart)

The share price of QFIN is currently hovering near key support levels, suggesting a potential for short-term gains. As the stock rises, it is anticipated to encounter a notable resistance level at USD 42, which may be reached in the next 2-4 weeks. Should the stock break through this level, it could trigger additional buying momentum and pave the way for further gains.

Technical Indicators Analysis (On the daily chart)

On the daily chart, the 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is trending higher, indicating a positive bias. Trading volumes seem to confirm this upward trend. Furthermore, the stock price moving above its 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), supporting positive bias.

As per the above-mentioned price action and technical indicators analysis, Qifu Technology Inc (NASDAQ: QFIN) is looking technically well-placed on the chart, and a ‘Buy’ recommendation has been given on the stock. 

 

Key Financials in Pictures

Income Statement

2018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-310M2000M4000M6000M8000M10000M12000M14000M16000M
Total Revenue
Net Income

Balance Sheet

2019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-312023-12-310M5000M10000M15000M20000M25000M30000M35000M40000M45000M
Total Assets
Total Liabilities

Change in Cash

2018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-310M200M400M600M800M1000M1200M1400M1600M1800M2000M2200M2400M2600M2800M

Total Operating Cash

2018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-310M500M1000M1500M2000M2500M3000M3500M4000M4500M5000M5500M6000M

Dividends Paid

2018-12-312019-12-312020-12-312021-12-312022-12-310M200M400M600M800M1000M1200M1400M1600M1800M2000M2200M2400M2600M2800M3000M

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Peer Comparison

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Credit Services

Company Change (USD) Price (USD) Trailing PE (x) Forward PE (x) Price Sales TTM (x) Price to Book Value (x) Enterprise Value to Revenue (x)
QFIN
360 Finance Inc
-5.34 12.28% 38.14 8.02 3.27 0.35 1.91 3.11
V
Visa Inc. Class A
-23.09 6.80% 316.30 31.25 25.97 16.18 13.64 16.19 23.37
MA
Mastercard Inc
-34.31 6.47% 496.24 37.04 29.50 16.14 62.35 16.47 27.24
AXP
American Express Company
-13.48 5.46% 233.52 21.83 20.04 3.53 7.21 4.18
PYPL
PayPal Holdings Inc
-2.85 4.62% 58.86 21.96 18.69 2.93 4.56 2.86 12.64

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Disclosures:

Related Risks: This report may be looked at from high-risk perspective and recommendations are provided are for a short duration. Recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is January 17, 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

Disclaimer :
This report has been issued by StockNextt which has an Ontario Business Identification Number 1000958347 and British Columbia registration Number FM1051529 is a trade name under Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. having Business Number 761925130BC0001. Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. and StockNextt are collectively referred to as “StockNextt”, “we”, “us”, and “our”. The website https://stocknextt.com and associated pages are published by StockNextt. The information in this report and on the StockNextt website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which StockNextt, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. StcokNextt has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its reports, newsletters, and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice. The information in this report does not constitute an offer to sell securities or other financial products or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities or other financial products. Our reports contain general recommendations for investing in securities and other financial products. StockNextt does not offer financial advice based upon your personal financial situation or goals, and we shall not be held liable for any investment or trading losses you may incur by using the opinions expressed in our reports, publications, market updates, news alerts and corporate profiles. StockNextt does not intend to exclude any liability which it is not permitted to exclude under applicable law or regulation. StockNextt’s general advice does not in any way endorse or recommend individuals, investment products or services for your personal financial situation. You should discuss your portfolios and the risk tolerance level appropriate for your personal financial situation, with a professional authorised financial planner and adviser. You should be aware that the value of any investment and the income from it can go down as well as up and you may not get back the amount invested. Please also read our Terms and conditions for further information. Employees and/or associates of StockNextt and its related entities may hold an interest in the securities or other financial products covered in this report or on the StockNextt website. Any such employees and associates are required to comply with certain safeguards, procedures and disclosures as required by law.

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