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Dell Technologies Inc

Recommendation: Buy

Entry Date Symbol Recommendation Entry Price (USD) Target 1 (USD) Target 2 (USD) Holding Duration Potential Upside*
5 Mar, 25 DELL Buy USD 94.07 USD 99.71 USD 105.36 19 days 12.0%

*Potential Upside (%) indicates the expected percentage increase from the Entry Price to the Target 2 Price.

Fundamentals

  • Previous Close 91.15
  • Market Cap76496.38M
  • Volume2834680
  • P/E Ratio19.41
  • Dividend Yield1.26%
  • EBITDA8726.00M
  • Revenue TTM91839.00M
  • Revenue Per Share TTM129.08
  • Gross Profit TTM 20704.00M
  • Diluted EPS TTM5.65

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Company Overview

Dell Technologies Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and supports various comprehensive and integrated solutions, products, and services in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Asia, and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) and Client Solutions Group (CSG). The ISG segment provides modern and traditional storage solutions, including all-flash arrays, scale-out file, object platforms, hyper-converged infrastructure, and software-defined storage; and general-purpose and AI-optimized servers. This segment also offers networking products and services comprising wide area network infrastructure, data center and edge networking switches, and cables and optics that help its business customers to transform and modernize their infrastructure, mobilize and enrich end-user experiences, and accelerate business applications and processes; software and peripherals; and consulting, support, and deployment services. The CSG segment provides desktops, workstations, and notebooks; displays, docking stations, keyboards, mice, webcam, and audio devices; and third-party software and peripherals, as well as configuration, support and deployment, and extended warranty services. It is involved in cybersecurity technology-driven security solutions to prevent security breaches, detect malicious activity, respond rapidly when a security breach occurs, and identify emerging threats; originating, collecting, and servicing customer financing arrangements; and the resale of VMware products and services. The company serves enterprises, public institutions, and small and medium-sized businesses through its direct sales channel, value-added resellers, system integrators, distributors, and retailers. The company was formerly known as Denali Holding Inc. and changed its name to Dell Technologies Inc. in August 2016. Dell Technologies Inc. was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Round Rock, Texas.

Key Positives

Profitability: Q4 FY25 EPS rose 18%, reflecting operational efficiency, ISG performance, and disciplined cost management

AI Leadership: AI leadership reinforced with a USD 9 billion backlog and USD 295 billion TAM by 2027, positioning Dell at the forefront of AI infrastructure

Key Negatives

Profitability Outlook: FY26 gross margin expected to contract by 100 basis points, reflecting ongoing AI investments and pricing pressure

Consumer PC Demand: Weak consumer PC demand, with a 12% revenue drop in Q4, driven by subdued market appetite and aggressive discounting

Key Investment Risks

Supply Chain Disruptions, Profitability Pressure, Execution Risks, Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Risks

Recommendation Summary

Technical Summary

Entry Price Support* Target 1 Target 2
94.07 82.78 99.71 105.36

Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt

*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.

Key Reasons for Buy

  • Full-Year Financial Performance: Dell Technologies reported robust financial results for fiscal year 2025, with total revenue amounting to USD 95.6 billion, marking an 8% year-over-year increase. Operating income stood at USD 6.2 billion, reflecting a 15% growth, while non-GAAP operating income reached USD 8.5 billion, up 8%. The company achieved record diluted earnings per share (EPS) of USD 6.38, representing a 39% increase, alongside a record non-GAAP diluted EPS of USD 8.14, up 10%. Cash flow from operations totaled USD 4.5 billion, underlining Dell's strong financial health.
  • Fourth-Quarter Highlights: In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, Dell Technologies recorded revenue of USD 23.9 billion, a 7% increase compared to the prior year. Operating income surged 40% to USD 2.2 billion, while non-GAAP operating income rose 22% to USD 2.7 billion. The company posted record diluted EPS of USD 2.15, up 30%, and record non-GAAP diluted EPS of USD 2.68, reflecting an 18% year-over-year increase. These results were driven by robust performance in the Infrastructure Solutions Group and continued operational efficiencies.
  • Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG): The Infrastructure Solutions Group achieved significant growth, with full-year revenue of USD 43.6 billion, up 29% year over year. Operating income for the segment increased by 30% to USD 5.6 billion. Fourth-quarter revenue amounted to USD 11.4 billion, representing a 22% increase. Servers and Networking revenue surged 37% to USD 6.6 billion, driven by heightened demand for AI and traditional servers, while Storage revenue grew by 5% to USD 4.7 billion. Record fourth-quarter operating income of USD 2.1 billion reflected a 44% year-over-year increase.
  • Client Solutions Group (CSG): The Client Solutions Group reported full-year revenue of USD 48.4 billion, a 1% decline from the previous year, with operating income decreasing by 20% to USD 3.0 billion. Fourth-quarter revenue increased by 1% to USD 11.9 billion, supported by a 5% rise in Commercial Client revenue to USD 10.0 billion. However, Consumer revenue fell 12% to USD 1.9 billion. Fourth-quarter operating income stood at USD 631 million, down 19% compared to the prior year.
  • Capital Return Initiatives: Dell Technologies announced an 18% increase in its annual cash dividend, raising it to USD 2.10 per common share. The first quarterly distribution of USD 0.525 per common share will be payable on May 2, 2025, to shareholders of record as of April 22, 2025. Additionally, the company’s board of directors approved a USD 10 billion increase in its share repurchase authorization, reaffirming its commitment to enhancing shareholder value.
  • Guidance for Fiscal Year 2026: For fiscal year 2026, Dell Technologies projects revenue between USD 101.0 billion and USD 105.0 billion, representing an 8% year-over-year increase at the midpoint. GAAP diluted EPS is expected to reach USD 7.85, up 23%, while non-GAAP diluted EPS is anticipated at USD 9.30, reflecting a 14% increase. For the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, revenue is forecasted between USD 22.5 billion and USD 23.5 billion, with non-GAAP diluted EPS projected to rise 25% to USD 1.65.

Considering Dell Technologies’ robust momentum in AI innovation, including the launch of five AI-optimized platforms like the PowerEdge XE9712 and partnerships with companies such as NVIDIA, xAI, and AMD, expanding market demand for AI-driven servers and PCs, valuation upside potential from its USD 15 billion AI server shipment forecast and USD 9 billion AI backlog, and key risks, a " Buy" recommendation is given on the stock at the closing market price of USD 94.07, as of March 04, 2025.

Key Financials in Pictures

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Change in Cash

Total Operating Cash

Dividends Paid

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Peer Comparison

Sector: Technology Industry: Computer Hardware

Company Change (USD) Price (USD) Trailing PE (x) Forward PE (x) Price Sales TTM (x) Price to Book Value (x) Enterprise Value to Revenue (x) Enterprise Value to EBITDA (x)
DELL
Dell Technologies Inc
0.80 0.88% 91.95 19.41 11.81 0.83 4.39 1.02 10.88
ANET
Arista Networks
0.36 0.46% 77.84 39.49 31.45 13.08 11.15 12.18 31.54
SMCI
Super Micro Computer Inc
0.96 2.80% 35.20 49.25 28.90 5.69 17.11 5.65 57.68
CAJFF
Canon Inc
- -% 30.64 15.35 12.14 0.0071 1.35 1.14 7.50
CAJPY
Canon Inc.
0.19 0.61% 31.37 16.33 11.29 0.0071 1.45 1.14 7.50

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Disclosures:

Related Risks: This report may be looked at from high-risk perspective and recommendations are provided are for a short duration. Recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is March 04,2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

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