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indie Semiconductor Inc

Recommendation: Speculative Buy

Entry Date Symbol Recommendation Entry Price (USD) Target 1 (USD) Target 2 (USD) Holding Duration Potential Upside
28 May, 24 INDI Speculative Buy USD 6.44 USD 6.96 USD 7.5 9 days 16.5%

Fundamentals

  • Previous Close 4.12
  • Market Cap1083.00M
  • Volume1897274
  • P/E Ratio-
  • Dividend Yield-%
  • EBITDA-101.28500M
  • Revenue TTM235.07M
  • Revenue Per Share TTM1.53
  • Gross Profit TTM 50.31M
  • Diluted EPS TTM-0.45

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Company Overview

indie Semiconductor, Inc. provides automotive semiconductors and software solutions for advanced driver assistance systems, autonomous vehicle, in-cabin, connected car, and electrification applications. It offers ultrasonic sensors for parking assist and systems; radar sensors for audio assistance and reverse information; front cameras for vehicle detection, collision avoidance, and sign reading; and side/inside cameras for blind spot and lane change assist, and driver behavior monitoring. The company also provides LiDAR for distance, speed, and obstacle detection, collision avoidance, and emergency brake system; and long range RADAR for audio assistance, obstacle detection, and ACC stop and go. In addition, it designs and manufactures photonic components on various technology platforms, including fiber Bragg gratings, low-noise lasers, athermal and tunable packaging, photonic integration, and low-noise and high-speed electronics. It provides solutions in the United States, South America, rest of North America, Greater China, South Korea, rest of the Asia Pacific, and Europe. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Aliso Viejo, California.

Key Positives

Improving Profitability: Gross Margins of 42.5% in Q1 FY24 vs 40.5% in Q1 FY23

Effective Working Capital Requirement: Cash Cycle of 151.8 Days in Q1 FY24 vs Industry Median of 180.7 Days

Key Negatives

Balance Sheet Risk: Debt-Equity Ratio of 0.39x in Q1 FY24 vs Industry Median of 0.18x

Lower Liquidity: Current Ratio of 1.74x in Q1 FY24 vs Industry Median of 3.41x

Key Investment Risks

Declining Average Selling Prices, Competitive Bid Selection Processes, Declining Customers' Demand. Downturn in the Automotive Market, Reliance on Third Parties for Manufacturing, Assembling, or Packaging Company's Products, etc.

Recommendation Summary

Technical Summary

Entry Price Support* Target 1 Target 2
6.44 5.92 6.96 7.5

Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt

*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.

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Key Reasons for Speculative Buy

Technical Observation (on the daily chart): 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) over a 14-day period stands upward trending with value of 57.58, with expectations of a consolidation or an upward momentum. Additionally, the stock's current positioning is above both the 50-period SMA and 200-period SMA, which may serve as dynamic short to medium-term support levels.  

As per the above-mentioned price action, recent key business and financial updates, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicators analysis, a ‘Speculative Buy’ rating has been given to Indie Semiconductor, Inc. (NASDAQ: INDI) at the closing market price of USD 6.44 as of May 24, 2024. 

Key Financials in Pictures

Income Statement

Balance Sheet

Change in Cash

Total Operating Cash

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Peer Comparison

Sector: Technology Industry: Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

Company Change (USD) Price (USD) Trailing PE (x) Forward PE (x) Price Sales TTM (x) Price to Book Value (x) Enterprise Value to Revenue (x) Enterprise Value to EBITDA (x)
INDI
indie Semiconductor Inc
0.05 1.21% 4.17 - 294.12 4.20 2.10 4.30 -10.5295
ASML
ASML Holding NV ADR
-3.43 0.48% 716.06 49.01 44.05 13.98 26.27 13.85 38.25
ASMLF
ASML Holding NV
-2.94 0.41% 714.48 35.84 34.36 10.90 22.09 10.98 30.93
AMAT
Applied Materials Inc
-2.65 1.60% 162.80 19.53 17.73 5.16 7.46 5.10 15.75
LRCX
Lam Research Corp
-3.63 4.83% 71.57 35.59 26.25 8.76 15.26 8.72 27.97

Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).

Disclosures:

Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing. 

Related Risk: This report may be looked at from a high-risk perspective and a recommendation is provided for a short duration. This report is solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc. 

 

Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.  

Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance level is May 24, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV. 

Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above. 

Note 4: Target Price refers to a price level that the stock is expected to reach as per the relative valuation method and or technical analysis taking into consideration both short-term and long-term scenarios. 

Note 5: ‘Kalkine reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), NASDAQ Capital Markets (NASDAQ), and or REFINITIV. Typically, all sources (NYSE, NASDAQ, or REFINITIV) may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice. 

 

Technical Indicators Defined: -

Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.

Disclaimer :
This report has been issued by StockNextt which has an Ontario Business Identification Number 1000958347 and British Columbia registration Number FM1051529 is a trade name under Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. having Business Number 761925130BC0001. Kalkine Canada Advisory Services Inc. and StockNextt are collectively referred to as “StockNextt”, “we”, “us”, and “our”. The website https://stocknextt.com and associated pages are published by StockNextt. The information in this report and on the StockNextt website has been prepared from a wide variety of sources, which StockNextt, to the best of its knowledge and belief, considers accurate. StcokNextt has made every effort to ensure the reliability of information contained in its reports, newsletters, and websites. All information represents our views at the date of publication and may change without notice. The information in this report does not constitute an offer to sell securities or other financial products or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities or other financial products. Our reports contain general recommendations for investing in securities and other financial products. StockNextt does not offer financial advice based upon your personal financial situation or goals, and we shall not be held liable for any investment or trading losses you may incur by using the opinions expressed in our reports, publications, market updates, news alerts and corporate profiles. StockNextt does not intend to exclude any liability which it is not permitted to exclude under applicable law or regulation. StockNextt’s general advice does not in any way endorse or recommend individuals, investment products or services for your personal financial situation. You should discuss your portfolios and the risk tolerance level appropriate for your personal financial situation, with a professional authorised financial planner and adviser. You should be aware that the value of any investment and the income from it can go down as well as up and you may not get back the amount invested. Please also read our Terms and conditions for further information. Employees and/or associates of StockNextt and its related entities may hold an interest in the securities or other financial products covered in this report or on the StockNextt website. Any such employees and associates are required to comply with certain safeguards, procedures and disclosures as required by law.

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