Recommendation: Buy
| Entry Date | Symbol | Recommendation | Entry Price (USD) | Target 1 (USD) | Target 2 (USD) | Holding Duration | Position Status | Return(%)* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec, 25 | TSN | Buy | USD 57.66 | USD 60.8 | USD 64.0 | 28 days | Closed |
|
*Return(%) represent the percentage change between the entry price and exit price of the recommendation.
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Tyson Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food company worldwide. It operates through four segments: Beef, Pork, Chicken, and Prepared Foods. The company processes live fed cattle and hogs; fabricates dressed beef and pork carcasses into primal and sub-primal meat cuts, as well as case ready beef and pork, and fully cooked meats; raises and processes chickens into fresh, frozen, and value-added chicken products, including breaded chicken strips, nuggets, patties, and other ready-to-fix or fully cooked chicken parts; and supplies poultry breeding stock. It also manufactures and markets frozen and refrigerated food products, including ready-to-eat sandwiches, flame-grilled hamburgers, Philly steaks, pepperoni, bacon, breakfast sausage, turkey, lunchmeat, hot dogs, flour and corn tortilla products, appetizers, snacks, prepared meals, ethnic foods, side dishes, meat dishes, breadsticks, and processed meats under the Tyson, Jimmy Dean, Hillshire Farm, Ball Park, Wright, Aidells, ibp, and State Fair brands. The company sells its products through its sales staff to grocery retailers, grocery wholesalers, meat distributors, warehouse club stores, military commissaries, industrial food processing companies, chain restaurants or their distributors, live markets, international export companies, and domestic distributors who serve restaurants and food service operations, such as plant and school cafeterias, convenience stores, hospitals, and other vendors, as well as through independent brokers and trading companies. The company was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Springdale, Arkansas.
Growth in Consolidated Revenue: In FY2025, Tyson Foods reported consolidated sales of USD 54,441 million, compared with USD 53,309 million in FY2024,
Strong Recovery in Chicken Operating Profit: The Chicken segment delivered a notable turnaround, with operating income rising to USD 1,427 million in FY2025 from USD 988 million in FY2024
Decline in Net Earnings Attributable to Tyson: At the consolidated level, net income attributable to Tyson decreased to USD 474 million in FY2025 compared with USD 800 million in FY2024
Deepening Losses in the Beef Segment: The Beef segment experienced a further deterioration in results, recording an operating loss of USD (1,135) million in FY2025 versus an operating loss of USD (381) million in FY2024
Tyson Foods faces material earnings volatility risk stemming from livestock cost inflation, supply-demand imbalances and legal/regulatory exposures that may continue to pressure margins across Beef and Pork operations
| Entry Price | Support* | Target 1** | Target 2** |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57.66 | 52.4 | 60.8 | 64.0 |
Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt
*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.
**Target prices may vary by ±0.5% depending on market volatility.
Revenue Momentum with Modest Top-Line Expansion: Tyson Foods reported consolidated sales of USD 54.4 billion in FY2025, reflecting a 2.1% increase driven primarily by higher average selling prices across Beef, Pork and Prepared Foods, partially offset by legal contingency accruals that reduced reported revenue. This compares with USD 53.3 billion in FY2024, underscoring resilient consumer demand and disciplined pricing actions despite a mixed commodity backdrop.
Earnings Impacted by Charges and Margin Compression: Operating income declined to USD 1.10 billion in FY2025 from USD 1.41 billion in FY2024, primarily due to compressed Beef and Pork margins and significant legal and goodwill-related charges. These headwinds outweighed improved profitability in Chicken and Prepared Foods. Net income attributable to Tyson decreased to USD 474 million in FY2025 from USD 800 million in FY2024, reflecting both higher non-operating expenses and a higher effective tax rate.
Segment Divergence with Strong Chicken Recovery: Operational performance varied across segments. The Chicken segment delivered a substantial earnings recovery, with operating income rising to USD 1.43 billion in FY2025 from USD 988 million in FY2024, supported by improved execution, higher production volume and lower feed costs. Prepared Foods also recorded a marginal increase in operating income, benefiting from pricing actions and productivity.
Challenges in Beef and Pork from Cost Inflation and Supply Tightness: The Beef segment moved further into operating loss, declining to USD (1.14) billion in FY2025 versus USD (381) million in FY2024, adversely affected by cattle cost inflation, lower head throughput and goodwill impairment. Similarly, the Pork segment operating loss widened to USD (199) million in FY2025 from USD (40) million in FY2024, reflecting margin compression and legal accruals despite improved operational efficiencies.
Cost Discipline and SG&A Efficiencies: The company recorded a reduction in selling, general and administrative expenses to USD 2.12 billion in FY2025 from USD 2.22 billion in FY2024, delivered through lower professional fees, reduced restructuring costs and process simplification. This cost discipline partially mitigated commodity-related margin pressures and underpinned segment operating stability.
Cash Flow Generation and Balance Sheet Support: Tyson generated USD 2.16 billion of operating cash flow in FY2025, compared with USD 2.59 billion in FY2024, driven by lower earnings and higher inventory investment. Nevertheless, liquidity remained adequate to fund capex, service debt and support shareholder returns, reinforcing the company’s financial flexibility in a period of market volatility.
Operational Focus on Productivity and Supply Chain Resilience: Management continued to emphasize operational execution, network optimization and cost efficiency initiatives across the manufacturing footprint. These measures contributed to improved performance particularly in the Chicken and Prepared Foods segments, where process efficiency gains and pricing discipline supported margin recovery despite inflation in selected inputs.
Technical Commentary: TSN’s stock price is currently approaching a significant support zone, suggesting the potential for short-term gains. Overall, the price is maintaining a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, indicating that the upward trend is likely to persist. The 14-period RSI is near the midpoint and may rise further, while the 50-period simple moving average remains below the current price, reinforcing a positive bias. Collectively, these technical signals point to a higher likelihood of an upward movement.
As per the above-mentioned price action, recent key business and financial updates, momentum in the stock over the last month, and technical indicator analysis, a ‘Buy’ rating has been given to Tyson Foods, Inc. (NYSE: TSN) at its current market price of USD 57.66 as of December 23, 2025 (10:55 EST).
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Farm Products
| Company | Change (USD) | Price (USD) | Trailing PE (x) | Forward PE (x) | Price Sales TTM (x) | Price to Book Value (x) | Enterprise Value to Revenue (x) | Enterprise Value to EBITDA (x) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSN Tyson Foods Inc |
-0.74 1.32% | 55.46 | - | 24.94 | 0.34 | 1.00 | 0.51 | 26.68 |
| ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Company |
-1.4 1.83% | 75.10 | 30.63 | 15.22 | 0.42 | 1.48 | 0.53 | 13.90 |
| BG Bunge Global SA |
-3.56 3.07% | 112.58 | 25.52 | 14.53 | 0.35 | 1.53 | 0.54 | 15.43 |
| MNHVF Mowi ASA |
- -% | 20.41 | 19.37 | 9.03 | 1.64 | 2.33 | 2.08 | 8.19 |
| MHGVY Mowi ASA ADR |
- -% | 19.86 | 19.34 | 8.94 | 1.64 | 2.30 | 2.08 | 8.19 |
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and prevailing geopolitical tensions. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.
Related Risks: This report may be looked at from high-risk perspective and recommendations are provided are for a short duration. Recommendations provided in this report are solely based on technical parameters, and the fundamental performance of the stocks has not been considered in the decision-making process. Other factors which could impact the stock prices include market risks, regulatory risks, interest rates risks, currency risks, social and political instability risks etc.
Note 1: Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels as on December 23, 2025. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.
Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.
Note 4: StockNextt reports are prepared based on the stock prices captured either from REFINITIV or Trading View. Typically, REFINITIV or Trading View may reflect stock prices with a delay which could be a lag of 15-20 minutes. There can be no assurance that future results or events will be consistent with the information provided in the report. The information is subject to change without any prior notice.
Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.
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