Recommendation: Buy
| Entry Date | Symbol | Recommendation | Entry Price (USD) | Target 1 (USD) | Target 2 (USD) | Holding Duration | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul, 24 | SMPL | Buy | USD 34.49 | USD 39.2 | USD 42.2 | Same day | 22.4% |
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
The Simply Good Foods Company operates as a consumer-packaged food and beverage company in North America and internationally. The company develops, markets, and sells snacks and meal replacements. It offers protein bars, ready-to-drink shakes, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, protein chips, and recipes under the Atkins and Quest brand names. The company also provides confectionery products, such as full-size and mini peanut butter cups, and fudgey brownie and gooey caramel candy bites, chocolatey coated peanut candies, and coconutty caramel candy bars under Atkins Endulge brand name.It distributes its products to various retail channels, such as mass merchandise, grocery and drug channels, club stores, convenience stores, gas stations, and other channels. The company also sells its products through e-commerce channels, including questnutrition.com, atkins.com, amazon.com and others. The Simply Good Foods Company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.
Higher Gross Margin (37.4% in Q2 FY 2024 vs. 30.5% Industry Median)
Higher EBITDA Margin (17.1% in Q2 FY 2024 vs. 10.9% Industry Median)
Lower Current Ratio (4.20x in Q2 FY 2024 vs. 1.61x Industry Median)
Lower ROE (2.0% in Q2 FY 2024 vs. 2.5% Industry Median)
Inflationary Concerns, Global Slowdown, etc.
| Entry Price | Support* | Target 1 | Target 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34.49 | 28.8 | 39.2 | 42.2 |
Data Source: REFINITIV, Analysis: StockNextt
*Support can be considered as an indicative stop-loss, and if prices move below that level on closing basis individuals may evaluate exiting the position depending on their risk appetite, previous holdings, and other factors considered. The support and resistance levels may need to be re-evaluated within 4-6 weeks’ time frame depending on the stock price movements from the date of recommendation on the stock.
Fiscal Third Quarter 2024 Results: SMPL's Q3 results were led by continued Quest growth, improving Atkins marketplace trends as well as robust gross margin performance.
Decent Outlook: OWYN net sales are expected to be in the $25 Mn -$30 Mn range for the balance of fiscal year 2024.
Valuation Upside: SMPL is trading at a decent level and depicts an upside of low double-digit (in % terms) as per Price/Earnings based relative valuation method. A 'Buy' recommendation has been assigned to the stock.
Considering the current stock trading levels, a 'Buy' recommendation has been given on the stock at the closing market price of USD 34.49 per share, up by 2.13% as on 30 July 2024
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Packaged Foods
| Company | Change (USD) | Price (USD) | Trailing PE (x) | Forward PE (x) | Price Sales TTM (x) | Price to Book Value (x) | Enterprise Value to Revenue (x) | Enterprise Value to EBITDA (x) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMPL Simply Good Foods Co |
-0.225 0.58% | 38.84 | 26.42 | 17.54 | 2.52 | 1.94 | 2.60 | 13.67 |
| NSRGF Nestle SA |
- -% | 81.27 | 26.86 | 18.76 | 3.13 | 7.10 | 3.81 | 21.70 |
| NSRGY Nestle SA ADR |
0.91 1.12% | 82.39 | 26.82 | 18.66 | 3.18 | 7.07 | 3.81 | 21.70 |
| KHC Kraft Heinz Co |
0.11 0.36% | 30.41 | 15.59 | 11.79 | 1.64 | 0.88 | 2.34 | 11.32 |
| DANOY Danone PK |
0.09 0.68% | 13.35 | 28.42 | 16.39 | 1.44 | 2.23 | 1.85 | 12.41 |
Data Powered by EOD Historical Data (“EODHD”).
Markets are trading in a highly volatile zone currently due to certain macro-economic issues and geopolitical tensions prevailing. Therefore, it is prudent to follow a cautious approach while investing.
Note 1: Past performance is neither an indicator nor a guarantee of future performance.
Note 2: The reference date for all price data, currency, technical indicators, support, and resistance levels is July 15, 2024. The reference data in this report has been partly sourced from REFINITIV.
Note 3: Investment decisions should be made depending on an individual's appetite for upside potential, risks, holding duration, and any previous holdings. An 'Exit' from the stock can be considered if the Target Price mentioned as per the Valuation and or the technical levels provided has been achieved and is subject to the factors discussed above.
Technical Indicators Defined: -
Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Resistance: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Resistance 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Resistance 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.
Support: A level at which the stock prices tend to find support if they are falling, and a downtrend may take a pause backed by demand or buying interest. Support 1 refers to the nearby support level for the stock and if the price breaches the level, then Support 2 may act as the crucial support level for the stock.
Target: A level at which the stock prices tend to find resistance when they are rising, and an uptrend may take a pause due to profit booking or selling interest. Target 1 refers to the nearby resistance level for the stock and if the price surpasses the level, then Target 2 may act as the crucial resistance level for the stock.
Stop-loss: It is a level to protect further losses in case of unfavourable movement in the stock prices.
Disclaimer :
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